My Account Log Out
 
 
DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers last year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).
  • D.K. Metcalf has run a route on 92.2% of his team's passing plays last year, putting him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Our trusted projections expect D.K. Metcalf to accrue 8.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With a stellar 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) last year, D.K. Metcalf stands among the top wide receivers in the game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.6 per game) last year.
  • With a feeble 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (21st percentile) last year, D.K. Metcalf ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™