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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-114/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • DK Metcalf has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The model projects DK Metcalf to garner 7.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • When talking about air yards, DK Metcalf grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a striking 91.0 per game.
  • DK Metcalf comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 62.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • DK Metcalf's 53.3% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 60.2% mark.

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