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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect DK Metcalf to earn 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • DK Metcalf's 63.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 90th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • DK Metcalf has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (99.0 per game).
  • DK Metcalf has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
  • DK Metcalf's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates an impressive drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 3.9% rate.
  • The Texans defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 108.0) versus wide receivers this year.

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