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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-102/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In this contest, DK Metcalf is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 8.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • DK Metcalf has posted quite a few less air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (99.0 per game).
  • DK Metcalf has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
  • DK Metcalf's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteable decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.9% rate.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) versus WRs this year (62.3%).

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