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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a sizeable 93.0% Route% (92nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • In this week's game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (66.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 99.0 air yards per game last year, DK Metcalf has seen a big downtick this year, currently averaging 76.0 per game.

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