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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a sizeable 93.0% Route% (92nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • In this week's game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (66.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

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