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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a remarkable 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, DK Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.
  • This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 99.0 air yards per game last year, DK Metcalf has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 75.0 per game.
  • DK Metcalf's 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 64.0 rate.
  • With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

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