|
|
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -105.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.With a remarkable 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.In this week's game, DK Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.7 targets.This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-most in the league.This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a staggering 9.80 yards.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.After accumulating 99.0 air yards per game last year, DK Metcalf has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 75.0 per game.DK Metcalf's 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 64.0 rate.With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
