DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
In this game, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by the model to rank in the 84th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.
D.K. Metcalf has been among the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 71.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
D.K. Metcalf has compiled far fewer air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
D.K. Metcalf's 54.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 68.3.
With a bad 2.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf ranks among the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL in the open field.
The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) to wideouts this year (57.2%).

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