DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
D.K. Metcalf has been among the worst wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.

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