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DK Metcalf
NFL · Player Props
DK Metcalf
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receiving Yards
Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:56 AM UTC
NFL Props DK Metcalf Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect D.K. Metcalf to notch 9.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Favors Under
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
  • D.K. Metcalf's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 65.0% to 60.1%.
  • The Cowboys defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 118.0) versus wide receivers this year.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has displayed good efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 7.08 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
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