DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to total 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has been a key part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 26.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among WRs.
DK Metcalf has accumulated a monstrous 90.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 56.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
DK Metcalf's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, totaling a measly 5.65 yards-per-target compared to a 7.97 mark last year.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.