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DK Metcalf Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-275).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +201 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +188.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.DK Metcalf has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.DK Metcalf has accrued a monstrous 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wide receivers.DK Metcalf's 66.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 95th percentile for wide receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.DK Metcalf has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 60.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among wide receivers
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