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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

D.J. Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

While DJ Moore has been responsible for 10.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Chicago's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 18.8%.

DJ Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 71.8% to 80.0%.

This year, the poor Washington Commanders defense has allowed a massive 1.20 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects DJ Moore to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game near the goal line this week (6.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

After accruing 64.0 air yards per game last year, DJ Moore has produced significantly less this year, now sitting at 45.0 per game.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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