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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +198.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by the model to run 67.9 total plays in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The leading projections forecast DJ Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
  • DJ Moore has notched a staggering 63.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • While DJ Moore has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Chicago's run game near the goal line in this week's contest at 7.3%.
  • The Raiders linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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