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D.J. Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+166/-215).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +166.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bears have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.0 plays per game.With an elite 26.9% Red Zone Target% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, DJ Moore has been among the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in football.When talking about air yards, DJ Moore grades out in the lofty 76th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 64.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) since the start of last season.Since the start of last season, the weak Cowboys run defense has allowed a whopping 1.53 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the highest rate in the NFL.As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's LB corps has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
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