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The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.The Bears are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and DJ Moore has received 2.1% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to wideouts).After averaging 64.0 air yards per game last year, DJ Moore has posted significant losses this year, currently boasting 57.0 per game.
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