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D.J. Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

D.J. Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.

The model projects the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Bears profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.

DJ Moore, who has garnered 3.6% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year (98th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a WR) of being involved in the Chicago red zone running game.

DJ Moore has accrued far fewer air yards this season (49.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

DJ Moore's 35.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 59.2.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

D.J. Moore TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

D.J. Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11