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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • DJ Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 71.8% to 80.0%.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Washington's safety corps has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DJ Moore's 16.3% Target Share this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack utilization over last season's 27.4% rate.
  • DJ Moore's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a substantial regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.8 rate.

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