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D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

In this contest, DJ Moore is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.

Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack in this week's game (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

DJ Moore's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteworthy reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 5.8 rate.

DJ Moore's 66.4% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.8% rate.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

D.J. Moore ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 16