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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The most plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (59.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bears.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • DJ Moore's 86.1% Route Participation Rate this year shows a noteworthy decline in his passing attack workload over last year's 97.2% rate.
  • DJ Moore's 3.0 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.8 mark.
  • DJ Moore's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 71.8% to 66.6%.

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