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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-136/+129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At just 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • This year, the porous Steelers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • DJ Moore's 85.7% Route% this year indicates a remarkable drop-off in his passing attack workload over last year's 97.2% mark.
  • DJ Moore's 2.8 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 5.8 figure.
  • DJ Moore's 66.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 71.8% figure.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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