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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • The projections expect D.J. Moore to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • D.J. Moore's 5.5 adjusted catches per game this year shows an impressive boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.7 figure.
  • D.J. Moore's 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a noteable growth in his receiving skills over last season's 57.7% figure.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 34.8 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.3%) to wide receivers this year (60.3%).

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