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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

The projections expect D.J. Moore to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.

D.J. Moore's 5.5 adjusted catches per game this year shows an impressive boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.7 figure.

D.J. Moore's 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a noteable growth in his receiving skills over last season's 57.7% figure.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 34.8 per game) this year.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.3%) to wide receivers this year (60.3%).

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