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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • DJ Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.8% to 76.3%.
  • DJ Moore's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 9.20 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.57 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • DJ Moore's 16.6% Target Share this year shows a material drop-off in his passing game usage over last year's 27.4% mark.
  • After totaling 64.0 air yards per game last season, DJ Moore has posted significant losses this season, now averaging 44.0 per game.
  • DJ Moore has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

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