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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • DJ Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 71.8% to 80.0%.
  • DJ Moore's 9.0 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a significant boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.6 figure.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Washington's safety corps has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DJ Moore's 16.3% Target Share this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack utilization over last season's 27.4% rate.
  • After accruing 64.0 air yards per game last year, DJ Moore has produced significantly less this year, now sitting at 45.0 per game.
  • DJ Moore has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).
  • DJ Moore's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.93 rate last season.

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