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D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

DJ Moore's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this year marks a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last year's 7.6 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

DJ Moore has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (87.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (97.2%).

After averaging 64.0 air yards per game last year, DJ Moore has posted significant losses this year, currently boasting 57.0 per game.

DJ Moore's 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteable decline in his receiving ability over last season's 61.0 figure.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

D.J. Moore Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19