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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • At just 28.00 seconds per snap, the Bears offense has been the 6th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, DJ Moore is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears rank as the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.7% pass rate.
  • DJ Moore's 87.2% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy decrease in his pass attack workload over last year's 97.2% figure.
  • DJ Moore's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 61.0 figure.
  • DJ Moore's 67.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 71.8% rate.
  • DJ Moore's talent in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.93 mark last year.

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