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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The most plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • DJ Moore's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.6 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (59.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bears.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • DJ Moore's 86.1% Route Participation Rate this year shows a noteworthy decline in his passing attack workload over last year's 97.2% rate.
  • DJ Moore has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
  • DJ Moore has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

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