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This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.DJ Moore's 16.7% Target Rate this season represents a substantial regression in his pass game volume over last season's 27.4% figure.After accruing 64.0 air yards per game last season, DJ Moore has produced significantly fewer this season, now boasting 46.0 per game.
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