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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.3% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accumulate 9.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers have been the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Moore has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).

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