D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:00 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-361).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.
D.J. Moore has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has put up a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among WRs.
D.J. Moore's 69.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.5%) to WRs since the start of last season (67.5%).

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
D.J. Moore's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 46.7%.
The Carolina Panthers O-line has given their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.