D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-313).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +238 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
D.J. Moore has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore's 71.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 97th percentile for wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
D.J. Moore ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
D.J. Moore has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
D.J. Moore's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 55.7%.

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