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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-313).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +238 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • D.J. Moore has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • D.J. Moore's 71.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 97th percentile for wideouts.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • D.J. Moore ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
  • D.J. Moore has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 55.7%.

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