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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -189 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 127.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.

D.J. Chark has been less involved as a potential target this season (22.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (84.2%).

D.J. Chark's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a remarkable decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 2.5 mark.

D.J. Chark profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 54.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile among wideouts

More D.J. Chark Player Props

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