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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop.
  • With an exceptional 84.2% Route% (75th percentile) last year, D.J. Chark stands as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • D.J. Chark has accounted for a monstrous 26.7% of his offense's air yards last year: 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Last year, the feeble Raiders pass defense has been torched for a massive 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • D.J. Chark profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 55.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 8th percentile among wideouts
  • D.J. Chark grades out as one of the worst wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 8th percentile.

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