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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • D.J. Chark has accumulated a whopping 90.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • D.J. Chark's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 40.2.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, completing a mere 53.2% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 21st percentile among wide receivers
  • The New York Jets defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) to wide receivers this year.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.7%).
  • The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 7.00 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.

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