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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +133 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

With an impressive 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson has been among the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect Diontae Johnson to be a less important option in his offense's passing game in this contest (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (27.0% in games he has played).

Diontae Johnson's 53.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 61.3% figure.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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