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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Diontae Johnson is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.9 targets.
  • With an exceptional 25.0% Target Rate (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson rates among the wideouts with the most usage in football.
  • With an outstanding 4.1 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.3 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Diontae Johnson's 52.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 61.3% mark.

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