Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 8:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
In this contest, Diontae Johnson is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.6 targets.
Diontae Johnson has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 23.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (54.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Panthers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

More Diontae Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow