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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Diontae Johnson grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 3.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

While Diontae Johnson has accounted for 22.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Baltimore's pass game in this contest at 8.5%.

Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 61.3% to 52.9%.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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