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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In this week's game, Diontae Johnson is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point spike in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Diontae Johnson has been more prominently used in his team's passing offense.

With a terrific 4.4 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson has been among the top wide receivers in the game in football.

The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 61.4% to 56.2%.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.7%) vs. WRs this year (60.7%).

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