Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 9.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 28.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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