Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Diontae Johnson has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 5.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.4% to 60.6%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.