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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Diontae Johnson has posted a massive 86.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Diontae Johnson checks in as one of the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a stellar 52.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Diontae Johnson to be a less important option in his offense's passing game in this contest (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (27.0% in games he has played).
  • Diontae Johnson's 53.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 61.3% figure.
  • Diontae Johnson's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a measly 6.38 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.41 rate last year.

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