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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Diontae Johnson to accrue 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

With a high 27.8% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

After accruing 86.0 air yards per game last year, Diontae Johnson has been rising this year, now averaging 93.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.

Diontae Johnson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 61.3% to 53.5%.

Diontae Johnson's 6.0 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 8.4 mark.

Diontae Johnson's 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.9% rate.

The Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.

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