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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Diontae Johnson to total 9.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

Diontae Johnson has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (30.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.0%).

Diontae Johnson has posted many more air yards this season (101.0 per game) than he did last season (86.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.

The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Diontae Johnson's 53.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a meaningful drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.3% figure.

Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 6.21 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.41 rate last season.

Diontae Johnson's skills in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, totaling just 3.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.92 rate last season.

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