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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Chargers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 8.40 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

While Diontae Johnson has earned 20.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Houston's passing offense this week at 11.5%.

After accumulating 84.0 air yards per game last year, Diontae Johnson has produced significantly less this year, now pacing 65.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.

Diontae Johnson's 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 56.0 figure.

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