Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In this week's game, Diontae Johnson is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last year, Diontae Johnson has been rising this year, currently averaging 97.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point spike in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Diontae Johnson has been more prominently used in his team's passing offense.
With an impressive 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 61.4% to 56.2%.

More Diontae Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow