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DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

With a sizeable 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith has been among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

DeVonta Smith has notched many more air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

DeVonta Smith rates in the 90th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 62.9 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.

This year, the fierce Giants defense has surrendered a measly 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-best rate in football.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8