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DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an elite 21.1% Red Zone Target% (85th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

After totaling 66.0 air yards per game last season, DeVonta Smith has undergone big improvement this season, currently pacing 88.0 per game.

DeVonta Smith places in the 89th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 64.1 figure this year.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus wideouts this year (69.8%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.0% red zone run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15