My Account Log Out
 
 
DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -295 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • DeVonta Smith has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.6% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • DeVonta Smith has accumulated far more air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
  • DeVonta Smith's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 93rd percentile for wideouts.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Eagles.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™