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DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

DeVonta Smith has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last season, DeVonta Smith has made big progress this season, now pacing 85.0 per game.

DeVonta Smith rates in the 95th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 68.4 mark this year.

With a fantastic 78.7% Adjusted Catch% (91st percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the best possession receivers in football among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.2% red zone run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.3 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10