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DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast DeVonta Smith to accumulate 7.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack stats across the board.

With an excellent 4.9 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

DeVonta Smith has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this season (22.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.9%).

The Vikings pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.3%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.3%).

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 7